VF
V F CORP (VFC)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 revenue was $2.144B, down 3% constant currency and 5% reported; adjusted operating income was $22M, above guidance, with gross margin up 560 bps to 53.4% on cost tailwinds and lower promotions .
- Versus consensus: EPS beat by ~$0.01 (actual -$0.13 vs -$0.14*), EBITDA beat ($76.7M vs $62.0M*), while revenue was a modest miss ($2.144B vs $2.171B*) .
- Vans declined 20% (reported) on deliberate channel rationalization and soft DTC traffic; The North Face and Timberland grew 4% and 13% in Q4, respectively, offsetting some pressure .
- Management guided Q1 FY2026 revenue down 3–5% (C$), adjusted operating loss of $110–$125M, gross margin up vs LY; interest ~$40M, ETR 13–14% .
- Catalysts: structural margin improvement and adjusted OI beat vs guidance; watch execution on the Vans reset and tariff mitigation plans (unmitigated annual cost ~$150M), which management expects to fully offset .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted operating income beat guidance, driven by 560 bps gross margin expansion to 53.4% from lower material costs, reduced discounting, and higher-quality inventory (“We exceeded our Q4'25 operating income guidance… Gross margin improved 560 basis points”) .
- Brand performance was solid outside Vans: The North Face revenue up 4% in Q4 with DTC +9% and double-digit growth in Americas/EMEA; Timberland up 13% with lower discounts and higher margins .
- Balance sheet progress: net debt down $1.8B YoY, leverage to 4.1x (down one full turn), inventories down 4% YoY; dividend maintained at $0.09 .
What Went Wrong
- Vans revenue declined 20% reported in Q4 (soft DTC traffic; deliberate actions in China, value door closures, distressed sales reduction); DTC down 3%, Americas and EMEA declined 5% and 2%, respectively .
- FY’25 free cash flow + asset sale proceeds of $401M missed the $440M guidance due to a timing prepayment; pure FCF was $313M .
- Segment-level pressure in Active (includes Vans) with Q4 segment revenues down 18% and segment loss of $32.2M; Dickies down 14% in Q4 .
Financial Results
Quarterly Trend vs Prior Periods
Q4 FY2025 Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment and Brand Breakdown (Q4 FY2025)
Regions and Channels (Q4 FY2025)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Non-GAAP adjustments in Q4 FY2025 negatively impacted diluted EPS by $0.26 (Reinvent, impairment, transaction-related) .
Guidance Changes
Tariffs: Unmitigated annual cost ~$150M with ~65% landing in FY’26 (mostly H2); management expects to fully offset via cost, sourcing relocations and pricing .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We exceeded our Q4'25 operating income guidance… excluding Vans®, [revenue] was up versus last year, led by growth at The North Face® and Timberland®” .
- “Gross margin improved 560 basis points versus last year from lower material costs, less distressed sales, less discounting and higher quality inventory” .
- On Vans: “60% of the decline this quarter is a direct effect of deliberately reduced revenue… another 25% driven by reduced storefronts and channel inventory in China… 35%… closure of value doors, reduction of distressed sales, and closure of our own stores” .
- Tariffs: “We have every confidence we will fully offset these costs and emerge stronger… asset-light model gives us flexibility… unmitigated annual impact approximately $150 million” .
- Portfolio: “We’re happy with the portfolio… if there’s something that doesn’t belong… we’ll exit it, but there’s nothing significant” .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross margin and FCF: Management expects continued margin improvement in FY’26; FCF of $313M excludes Supreme; operating cash flow and FCF to increase next year .
- Vans reset timing: China channel actions peak in Q4 FY’25 and fade through FY’26; value door closures and store closures fade across Q1–Q3, gone by Q4 .
- Debt and refinancing: Plan to address €500M March 2026 maturity via FCF and revolver; continued deleveraging expected .
- CapEx and store optimization: Testing remodels; store count down ~8% YoY; flexibility to accelerate or pause based on ROI .
- Dividend: Maintained at $0.09; focus remains on bringing leverage under 2.5x; no current change planned .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY2025: EPS beat consensus (-$0.13 vs -$0.14*), EBITDA beat ($76.7M vs $62.0M*), revenue slight miss ($2.144B vs $2.171B*) .
- With sustained margin improvement and Vans resets suppressing top line, consensus models likely adjust toward higher gross margin and lower near-term Vans revenue/DTC traffic until marketing and product refreshes ramp in back-to-school/holiday .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Structural margin progress is real; gross margin expansion and adjusted OI beat despite revenue pressure underscore Reinvent execution and mix/pricing discipline .
- Vans reset is the key swing factor; deliberate actions depress revenue short term, but management outlines a clear fade schedule and product/marketing catalysts for back-to-school/holiday .
- Balance sheet repair continues; leverage down to 4.1x with line-of-sight to 2.5x medium term; plan in place for FY’26 maturity management .
- Tariff risk appears manageable given diversified sourcing (<2% China for U.S. goods) and pricing/cost levers; monitor H2 FY’26 mitigation execution .
- Near-term setup: Q1 FY’26 guide implies a seasonal trough and Vans drag; watch DTC traffic and key account sell-through to gauge inflection .
- Brand strength at The North Face and Timberland provides ballast; continued DTC growth and lower discounts support margin durability .
- Trading implication: favor catalysts tied to margin beats and evidence of Vans traffic/product momentum; be cautious on top-line until reset effects fade and marketing activations drive engagement .